WEEKLY NEW HIGH AND LOW STOCKS : 23 NOV 2025

 

Indian Stock Market Weekly Forecast (17 Nov – 21 Nov)

 

Indian stock markets are entering a crucial week from 17 November to 21 November, backed by global cues, domestic economic signals, FOMC minutes, and sector rotation patterns visible in the previous sessions. The broader sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, but mixed indicators suggest that volatility can remain elevated throughout the week. This forecast provides a clear, structured outlook covering technical levels, sentiment, macro triggers, and sector-wise expectations, helping traders prepare better for the week ahead.

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1. Market Sentiment Overview

The previous week closed with the Nifty and Bank Nifty both showing signs of strength after holding above their respective key support zones. The formation of bullish candles on the weekly charts indicates that buyers still dominate the broader trend. However, this positivity is accompanied by caution due to global uncertainties and event-driven risks.

Overall sentiment for this week is positive to moderately bullish, as long as Nifty holds above the lower support bands. Market participants are now closely watching the 26,000 level for Nifty, which acts as a psychological barrier. If this is decisively crossed, markets could see a short-term acceleration toward higher resistance zones.

Global factors — especially US Federal Reserve commentary and US job data — are likely to influence risk appetite. Domestic factors such as inflation outlook, FII flows, sector rotation, and political developments also contribute to the overall tone.

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2. Key Index Levels

Nifty 50

• Primary Support: 25,700 – 25,750

• Secondary Support: 25,500

• Immediate Resistance: 26,000

• Major Resistance: 26,150 – 26,220

If Nifty sustains above 26,000 for two consecutive sessions, a possible rally toward 26,200 may unfold. Conversely, if Nifty slips below 25,700, the short-term bullish structure weakens, and a retest of 25,500 becomes likely.

Bank Nifty

• Immediate Support: 57,300 – 57,500

• Major Support: 56,900

• Resistance Zone: 58,500 – 59,000

Bank Nifty has shown resilience and continues to perform slightly stronger than Nifty. Banks may remain in focus due to improving credit growth, declining NPAs, and strong Q2 earnings.

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3. Global Market Influence

The world markets continue to keep a close eye on:

a) FOMC Minutes

The Federal Reserve’s minutes will be the most crucial global event this week. If the tone remains dovish or neutral, emerging markets like India may benefit. Any hawkish tone, however, could lead to correction pressure.

b) US Employment Data

Stronger job numbers may push US yields higher temporarily, which could cause FIIs to book profits in Indian markets. Weak job data could boost global liquidity expectations.

c) Crude Oil Prices

Crude oil remains volatile. A rise above $85 may hurt Indian markets due to inflationary concerns, while cooling oil prices will support both rupee and equity markets.

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4. Domestic Market Drivers

a) Political Stability & Domestic News

Political developments including state-level announcements and government investment plans can impact sentiment. Recently announced infrastructure projects and PLI scheme progress may benefit select sectors like infra, capital goods, and manufacturing.

b) Corporate Earnings Residual Effect

Some mid-cap and small-cap companies still announce results this week. Strong earnings from these segments can fuel the ongoing momentum.

c) FII & DII Flow Trends

FIIs have shown a mixed pattern recently. Their stance this week will be crucial. DIIs continue to support the markets on every dip, providing strong underlying resilience.

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5. Sector-Wise Weekly Outlook

1. Banking & Financials

Banks and NBFCs remain the strongest sectors. Improved balance sheet strength, credit growth, and optimism from global flows support the sector. PSU banks continue outperforming and may extend their momentum.

Bias: Bullish
Stocks to Monitor: SBI, Bank of Baroda, Axis Bank, HDFC Bank, PNB

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2. IT Sector

Weak global cues and rising US bond yields may create volatility in IT stocks. However, large-cap IT stocks remain fundamentally strong.

Bias: Neutral to Positive
Stocks to Watch: TCS, Infosys, LTIM

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3. Auto Sector

Auto stocks remain in a strong trend due to festive demand, better volume numbers, and positive monthly sales. EV-related news flow continues to support the segment.

Bias: Bullish
Stocks to Monitor: Maruti, Tata Motors, M&M, Bajaj Auto

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4. Metals & Mining

Metal stocks are driven by commodity prices and Chinese demand cues. If global growth picks up, metals may remain positive.

Bias: Slightly Bullish
Stocks to Track: JSW Steel, Tata Steel, Hindalco

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5. Energy & OMCs

Crude price fluctuations will determine the movement. Lower crude prices will support OMCs and aviation sectors.

Bias: Neutral
Stocks: IOC, BPCL, ONGC

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6. Midcaps & Smallcaps

These segments may continue to show outperformance but carry higher risk. Traders must maintain strict stop-loss levels to avoid sharp corrections.

Bias: High-volatility Positive

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6. Option Chain & Derivative View

• Strong call writing visible around 26,000 – 26,200 zones for Nifty.

• Put writers active at 25,700 indicating strong support.

• Bank Nifty OI suggests resistance at 58,500 and support at 57,300.

A breakout or breakdown on option-chain levels could determine intraday momentum across the week.

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7. Trading Strategy for the Week

a) For Short-Term Traders

• Buy Nifty on dips near 25,750 with SL 25,600 and target 26,150+.

• Bank Nifty buy zone is 57,400 with SL 57,000 and target 58,800.

b) Breakout Traders

• Nifty above 26,000 = Quick long trades target 26,180–26,220.

• Bank Nifty above 58,500 = Target 58,900–59,200.

c) Swing Traders

Focus on strong sectors like banking, auto, and metals.
Use trailing stop-loss to manage volatility.

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8. Risk Factors for the Week

• Hawkish FOMC minutes

• Sudden crude oil spike

• Unfavorable global cues

• Heavy profit booking near all-time highs

• Currency volatility (if USDINR crosses key levels)

Traders must keep stop-loss strict, and avoid over-leveraging.

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9. Final Summary

The week of 17–21 November is likely to be bullish to moderately positive for Indian markets, with key support zones defending well. Nifty needs to cross 26,000 decisively for a strong upward rally, while support around 25,700 will be crucial for the bulls. Sectors like banking, auto, and metals show the most strength. Global triggers remain the biggest risk and opportunity drivers.

Weekly Market Forecast (29 Sept – 3 Oct 2025): News, Sectors & Trading Strategies

 

As September winds down and October begins, the financial markets look set for another week of uncertainty. Investors are balancing global trade tensions, domestic monetary policy, and sector-specific shocks. Last week’s heavy sell-off, particularly in IT and pharma, showed how fragile sentiment can be. This week, all eyes will turn to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) policy outcome, global macro data, and festive season demand signals.

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Macro Backdrop: What’s Moving the Market?

1. RBI Policy on 1 October

   • The biggest event of the week is the RBI’s monetary policy meeting. While most expect the central bank to maintain a pause, the tone of the governor’s commentary will decide whether markets find relief or extend their decline.

2. Global Drivers

   • U.S. jobs data, PMI readings, and Federal Reserve speeches could add fresh volatility. A dovish tilt may offer respite to emerging markets, while hawkish hints can weigh on flows.

3. Trade Policy Overhang

   • The U.S. move to impose 100% tariffs on branded pharma imports rattled Indian pharmaceutical stocks. Any fresh clarity from policymakers could swing the sector sharply in either direction.

4. Festive Demand

   • With the festive season kicking in, early trends in consumer spending will be crucial for FMCG, retail, and auto sectors. A positive read-through could bring buyers back into consumption stocks.

5. Crude Oil & Rupee Watch

   • Rising crude prices and a weakening rupee remain risks for inflation and margins. Traders should be alert to sudden moves here.

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Sectoral Pulse: Who’s in Focus?

• Pharma & Healthcare:
  Under stress due to U.S. tariffs, but select generic-focused companies could remain resilient. Risky in the short term, but oversold stocks may offer tactical opportunities.

• IT & Technology:
  Facing dual pressure from higher visa fees and weaker client spending abroad. Best to stay selective—companies with diversified geographies are better placed.

• Metals & Capital Goods:
  Supported by strong order books and government-led infrastructure push. Likely to outperform if markets stabilize.

• Banking & Financials:
  Credit growth continues, but asset quality and margin pressures need monitoring. Large, diversified banks may weather volatility better than mid-sized players.

• Consumer & FMCG:
  The festive season could bring a short-term tailwind. Branded consumer names with strong rural penetration may surprise positively.

• Gold & Commodities:
  Gold remains an attractive hedge amid uncertainty. Analysts expect the uptrend to continue, though bouts of profit-taking may occur.

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Trading & Investment Strategies

1. Stay Defensive, Trade Tactical

   • With policy uncertainty, avoid over-committing capital. Accumulate quality names on dips rather than chasing rallies.

2. Hedge the Portfolio

   • Use index puts or sector-specific hedges to protect against downside risk, especially in vulnerable sectors like IT and pharma.

3. Phased Allocation

   • Instead of lump-sum entries, build positions gradually across the week. Keep cash ready for sharp corrections.

4. Focus on Relative Strength

   • Consider pair trades: long on strong sectors (capital goods, metals) while shorting weaker pockets (export-heavy IT).

5. Gold as Insurance

   • A 5–10% allocation to gold ETFs or bullion can balance risk from equities.

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Risks to Watch

• Unforeseen policy changes (tariffs, regulatory actions)

• A spike in crude oil or sharp rupee depreciation

• Disappointment in festive demand trends

• FII outflows picking up pace

Weekly Roadmap

Date	Key Trigger	Market Implication
29–30 Sept	Early U.S. macro releases, crude price trend	Likely to drive opening sentiment
1 Oct (Wed)	RBI policy meeting	Dovish tone = relief rally; hawkish stance = more pressure
2–3 Oct	U.S. jobs report & Fed remarks	Final directional cue for the week

Bottom Line

The week of 29 Sept – 3 Oct 2025 is unlikely to offer a smooth ride. With central bank policy, trade frictions, and global macro data colliding, volatility will remain high. The smart approach is to stay flexible, hedge risk, and focus only on sectors and companies with proven resilience.

In short: defense first, selectivity always, and cash ready for opportunities.

Nifty Spot Intraday Trading Plan : 12/09/2025

 

• Buy Confirmation:
  A buy signal will be confirmed only when a 5-minute Hekin 

•  candle closes above 25,017 .

• Buy Range:
  Once confirmed, the effective buying range will be 25,017 – 25,008.

• Best Buy Opportunity:
  If, after confirmation, Nifty retraces lower, then 24,984 will serve as the best buy entry level.

• Stop-Loss for Longs:
  For all buy positions, the stop-loss should be maintained in the 24,960 – 24,953 zone.

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• Short Confirmation:
  

• Short Setup:
  If Nifty opens below the stop-loss zone (24,960 – 24,953), and a 5-minute Hekin candle closes below this range, then a short position should be initiated.

• Stop-Loss for Shorts:
  In case of a short trade, the stop-loss will shift to the buy range (25,017 – 25,008).

✅ This structured approach helps you decide intraday direction clearly—longs above 25,070, shorts below 24,960 – 24,953, with well-defined entry and stop-loss levels.

09: 22 

Nifty Open with Gap up so wait to touch this lvl 

*Disclaimer.

Indian Stock Market Weekly Forecast (Sept 8–12, 2025): Key News, Sectors & Strategies

 

The Indian stock market is entering another crucial week with mixed signals from global and domestic fronts. While optimism around policy measures and GST rationalisation has lifted investor confidence, headwinds from global macroeconomic data and sector-specific weakness continue to weigh on indices.

Let’s dive deep into this week’s forecast, sector outlook, and trading strategies.

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🔎 Market Outlook for the Week

• Nifty 50: The benchmark index is expected to remain range-bound to cautiously positive.

  • Support levels: 24,600–24,280

  • Resistance levels: 25,000–25,675

  • A decisive break above 25,000 could trigger fresh momentum.

• Bank Nifty:
  The banking index remains the biggest drag on market sentiment.

  • Support: 53,550–52,500

  • Resistance: 54,550–55,300
    Analysts suggest monitoring Bank Nifty closely, as its performance will influence overall market direction.

• Market Mood: Investors should focus more on stock-specific opportunities rather than broad index trades. A buy-on-dips strategy is being recommended.

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🌍 Key News & Catalysts Driving Sentiment

1. Global Cues in Focus:

   • U.S. economic data and interest rate expectations will heavily impact market flows.

   • Crude oil prices and rupee movement remain critical for near-term sentiment.

2. Domestic Inflation Data:
   Upcoming CPI and WPI numbers will influence RBI’s policy stance. Markets may turn volatile around the release.

3. GST 2.0 Effect:

   • The recent GST rationalisation (“Diwali Bonanza”) has boosted outlook for consumer sectors.

   • However, last week’s momentum fizzled, showing that investors remain cautious.

4. Geopolitical Updates:

   • Positive developments from the Modi–Xi meeting have improved India’s standing among emerging markets.

   • This may attract more foreign institutional flows (FII) in coming weeks.

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📊 Sector-Wise Outlook

Here’s how major sectors are shaping up this week:

✅ Sectors with Positive Momentum

• Automobiles: Strong sales data and festive demand expected to support growth.

• Metals: Global commodity recovery is driving prices higher.

• Consumer Services & Manufacturing: Analysts expect sector rotation here, supported by GST cuts.

• New-Age Stocks (Tech Startups, Food Delivery, etc.): Investor appetite improving; Swiggy is a key pick.

⚠️ Sectors Requiring Caution

• Banking (Bank Nifty): Weakness persists; PSU and private banks remain under pressure.

• IT Services: Valuations look stretched, global tech demand softening.

• FMCG: Policy tailwinds help, but high valuations limit upside.

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💡 Stock Picks of the Week

Experts have highlighted the following stocks for potential outperformance:

• Swiggy (IPO & Growth Story): Positive sentiment around food delivery and digital consumption.

• Goldiam International: Strong export resilience makes it a defensive yet growth-oriented play.

Investors are advised to balance their portfolios with growth + defensives while keeping exposure to high-volatility stocks limited.

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📌 Strategy for Traders & Investors

• Short-Term Traders: Focus on support/resistance levels in Nifty and Bank Nifty. Trade with strict stop-losses.

• Positional Investors: Use dips to accumulate quality stocks in autos, metals, and consumer services.

• Long-Term Investors: Maintain a 50:50 hybrid allocation (equity + debt) to manage risk amidst global uncertainty.

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📝 Final Takeaway

The Indian stock market is set for a consolidation phase this week. While global cues and inflation data could bring volatility, opportunities lie in sector rotation and stock-specific plays.

• Watch levels: Nifty 24,600 (support) & 25,000 (breakout point).

• Focus sectors: Autos, Metals, Consumer Services, Manufacturing.

• Caution sectors: Banks, IT, FMCG.

In short — stay selective, ride the momentum in strong sectors, and keep your risk management tight.

📊 Market Snapshot – August 20, 2025

 The Sensex jumped 370 points, while Nifty hovered close to 25,000, supported mainly by heavyweights like Reliance and Bharti Airtel. Optimism grew on expectations of GST tax reforms and improved foreign investor sentiment.

SEBI is reviewing intraday derivative exposure limits, a move aimed at ensuring more stability and risk control in the equity market.

From a technical angle, Nifty faces a barrier near 25,160. Analysts are highlighting opportunities in ETFs like Groww Nifty Railways PSU ETF and Edelweiss Capital Markets & Insurance ETF.

🌍 Global Landscape

• Global cues were positive. The Trump–Putin meeting brought some calm to geopolitical worries, giving relief to energy and commodity markets.

• Fitch Ratings pointed out that Indian companies remain largely shielded from the U.S. tariff battle, though pharma could feel the heat if duties widen.

• Talks of lower GST rates on autos, insurance, and consumer goods are building bullish undertones in these sectors.

⚡ 21st August Expiry Outlook

• Options Data:

  • Call OI peak: 25,000 → resistance zone

  • Put OI peak: 24,000 → support zone

• Nifty Futures: trading around 24,970 with a slight premium.

• Strategy Pick (Axis Securities):

• Buy Nifty 24,650 CE

• Sell Nifty 24,850 CE

• Breakeven: ~24,730

• Risk-Reward: Max loss ~₹6,000 vs Max profit ~₹9,000

✍️ Today’s Note

Indian markets are displaying strong undercurrents ahead of the August 21 expiry. Nifty is trapped in a 24,000–25,000 band, with traders eyeing whether bulls can push it beyond resistance. Global relief and domestic policy hopes are providing a cushion, but expiry volatility is likely to remain high.

🇮🇳 RBI Monetary Policy August 2025 – Detailed Analysis & Impact on Indian Stock Market

 

🧭 Overview

On August 7, 2025, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), led by Governor Shaktikanta Das, announced its bi-monthly monetary policy, keeping the repo rate unchanged at 6.50% for the sixth consecutive time. This move was largely in line with market expectations.

Let’s explore the key takeaways, detailed analysis, and how this decision impacts various sectors and stocks in the Indian stock market.

📌 Key Highlights of the Policy

Policy Tool	Rate (%)	Change
Repo Rate	6.50	No Change
Reverse Repo Rate	3.35	No Change
Standing Deposit Rate	6.25	No Change
Bank Rate	6.75	No Change
CRR	4.5	No Change
SLR	18.0	No Change

🧩 Detailed Policy Analysis

🔵 1. Inflation Control Remains Priority

• The RBI maintained a "withdrawal of accommodation" stance, aiming to ensure inflation remains within the target range of 2-6%.

• Though retail inflation (CPI) has cooled to 5.0%, food prices remain a risk due to patchy monsoons and global commodity volatility.

🔵 2. Growth Outlook Positive

• India’s real GDP growth for FY26 has been revised upward to 7.2%, indicating strong domestic demand.

• Sectors like infrastructure, manufacturing, and services are expected to drive this growth.

🔵 3. Liquidity & Banking

• RBI noted an improvement in banking system liquidity.

• No CRR hike, which was feared by some, provided relief to banks and NBFCs.

• Digital lending norms and credit discipline remain a focus.

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📈 Impact on Indian Stock Market

✅ Immediate Market Reaction

• Post-policy, both Nifty 50 and Sensex reacted positively, as the RBI avoided any hawkish surprises.

• Bond yields remained stable; 10-year G-Sec hovered around 7.0%, signaling confidence.

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🔍 Sector-Wise Impact

🏦 1. Banking & NBFCs – Positive

• No rate hike means lower borrowing costs for NBFCs and corporates.

• Banks benefit from stable net interest margins (NIMs) and improved credit growth outlook.

• Top Gainers: HDFC Bank, SBI, ICICI Bank, Bajaj Finance

🏗️ 2. Infrastructure & Capital Goods – Bullish

• Strong GDP projections and capex-led growth benefit infra firms.

• Stable rates support long-term project financing.

• Top Picks: L&T, Siemens, Cummins India, BEL

🏠 3. Real Estate & Housing Finance – Supportive

• No hike in interest rates is a boon for homebuyers and real estate developers.

• Affordable housing may see demand revival in Tier 2–3 cities.

• Top Stocks: DLF, Godrej Properties, LIC Housing, HDFC Ltd

📦 4. FMCG & Consumption – Stable

• A stable rate environment and positive rural outlook help FMCG companies.

• However, rural inflation and monsoon concerns could affect demand.

• Stocks to Watch: HUL, Dabur, ITC, Marico

💻 5. IT & Exporters – Neutral

• The policy has limited direct impact on IT.

• Weak global demand still a concern, but stable rupee helps margins.

• Key Stocks: Infosys, TCS, Tech Mahindra

🔮 Broader Market Outlook

Parameter	Outlook
Short-term Trend	Bullish
Medium-term Liquidity	Supportive
Volatility	Likely Low
Preferred Sectors	Banking, Capital Goods, Infra

📝 Conclusion

The RBI’s August 2025 monetary policy reaffirms its focus on price stability without derailing growth. For equity markets, the status quo policy acts as a positive trigger, especially for interest rate-sensitive sectors like banking, real estate, and infra.

Investors should stay focused on:

• Earnings quality

• Policy-driven sectors

• FII/DII flow trends

• Inflation and global interest rate direction